Modelación matemática como herramienta para la seguridad y salud en el trabajo en Ecuador: barreras, potencialidades y propuestas
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La modelación matemática constituye una herramienta fundamental para optimizar la prevención de riesgos laborales, sin embargo, su aplicación en Ecuador aún es incipiente. El objetivo de este estudio fue identificar las barreras académicas que limitan la implementación de modelos matemáticos en la gestión de la seguridad y salud en el trabajo. Se empleó una metodología descriptiva y transversal, analizando comparativamente la oferta de posgrados en Ecuador, España y Estados Unidos, evaluando perfiles de ingreso, mallas curriculares y enfoques formativos. Los resultados evidenciaron que, a diferencia del modelo estadounidense que prioriza bases cuantitativas y trayectorias investigativas, en Ecuador predominan programas profesionalizantes con perfiles de ingreso heterogéneos y nula formación en matemáticas avanzadas o estadística predictiva. Se concluye que la falta de estandarización técnica y la ausencia de competencias numéricas en los posgrados actuales impiden el desarrollo de una prevención proactiva. Como solución, se propone un nuevo diseño de maestría con itinerarios diferenciados (profesionalizante e investigativo) y cursos propedéuticos que habiliten el uso de herramientas de simulación y análisis de datos para la toma de decisiones.
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